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Red42
503111.4
878911.9
978523.4
Blue59
434326.2
373923.4
97827.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801004259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9785
#33
23.40.1
21.521.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 2.8
4343
#22
26.20.6
24.425.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Second
8789
#39
11.90.1
12.612.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 11.4
3739
#44
23.40.6
19.219.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
5031
#34
11.40.1
9.79.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
red by 4.1
9782
#28
7.20.6
7.07.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed