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Red78
130529.3
86529.3
467837.1
Blue77
77221.9
375616.6
220038.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10871501507877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.1
38.036.8
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
blue by 1.4
38.50.5
34.334.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
865
#12
29.31.1
27.826.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 7.4
772
#20
21.90.5
17.418.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
29.31.1
27.326.2
Auto11.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
red by 12.7
3756
#36
16.60.5
17.017.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsEarned