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Red70
808125.4
503216.0
888425.6
Blue79
497634.7
965913.4
270811.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7758020401001201407079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8884
#13
25.60.2
27.127.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 9.1
4976
#16
34.71.1
30.331.4
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Second
8081
#19
25.40.2
24.724.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
red by 12.0
9659
#21
13.41.1
13.714.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
5032
#24
16.00.2
15.715.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 4.7
2708
#40
11.41.1
11.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed