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Red44
375616.6
702219.0
587010.1
Blue51
503111.4
686414.4
503216.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5442020801001201404451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7022
#50
19.00.4
19.919.5
Auto9.7
Teleop7.3
End2.0
red by 3.0
5032
#24
16.00.8
15.015.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Second
3756
#36
16.60.4
16.716.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 2.2
6864
#46
14.40.8
14.014.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
5870
#48
10.10.4
10.710.4
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 1.3
5031
#34
11.40.8
10.611.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed