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Red66
76038.3
77221.9
434326.2
Blue69
285220.4
926216.2
78125.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606340507080901006669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#22
26.20.4
25.325.7
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
red by 1.2
781
#27
25.00.5
24.525.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
772
#20
21.90.4
19.920.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 1.6
2852
#37
20.40.5
17.618.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
7603
#47
8.30.4
9.39.7
Auto5.3
Teleop0.9
End2.1
blue by 7.9
9262
#10
16.20.5
14.715.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed