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Red118
415234.5
403942.4
18821.1
Blue94
588531.2
263426.4
406923.1
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10580406012014016018011894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.4
40.041.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 11.3
31.21.1
30.131.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
Second
4152
#12
34.51.4
33.234.6
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
red by 8.1
26.41.1
24.825.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
188
#25
21.11.4
18.920.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
blue by 2.0
23.11.1
20.121.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed