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Red32
571926.1
956913.3
490319.7
Blue71
495115.2
755832.6
132533.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577202040801001201403271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5719
#33
26.11.8
22.620.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End0.4
blue by 7.3
33.40.4
27.427.8
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
4903
#23
19.71.8
20.218.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 13.0
7558
#18
32.60.4
25.425.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Third
9569
#22
13.31.8
10.99.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 1.9
4951
#29
15.20.4
10.210.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed