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Red98
909831.4
263426.4
697828.7
Blue16
128522.2
492028.6
876421.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756420401001209816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.42.1
27.029.1
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
red by 2.8
4920
#40
28.63.0
25.022.0
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
Second
6978
#19
28.72.1
24.326.4
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 6.5
1285
#11
22.23.0
15.212.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Third
26.42.1
15.517.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 5.3
8764
#37
21.13.0
18.615.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed