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Red63
494016.6
430816.9
61031.3
Blue45
502427.3
872924.7
490319.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883020401001201406345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
31.30.5
26.226.7
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
red by 4.0
5024
#14
27.33.3
34.230.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
4308
#24
16.90.5
16.016.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 7.8
8729
#17
24.73.3
17.914.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Third
4940
#34
16.60.5
13.113.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 3.0
4903
#23
19.73.3
19.816.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned