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Red96
403942.4
616219.6
755832.6
Blue90
540931.8
219815.2
415234.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867740601001209690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.3
36.137.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 7.9
4152
#12
34.50.9
27.128.0
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Second
7558
#18
32.61.3
24.125.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
red by 0.9
31.80.9
27.428.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Third
6162
#30
19.61.3
16.918.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
red by 4.3
2198
#48
15.20.9
16.617.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned