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Red28
873112.2
499215.0
750913.7
Blue78
403942.4
490319.7
909831.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281080501502002878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#38
15.00.5
10.610.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
blue by 27.4
42.41.0
40.039.0
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
7509
#46
13.70.5
11.711.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 17.7
31.41.0
31.030.0
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Third
8731
#44
12.20.5
12.812.4
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 7.5
4903
#23
19.71.0
17.216.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed