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Red79
958015.0
415234.5
263426.4
Blue72
447637.7
430816.9
503615.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660501001507972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
34.50.9
28.829.7
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 3.2
37.70.6
29.830.4
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Second
26.40.9
21.522.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 9.5
4308
#24
16.90.6
18.218.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
9580
#21
15.00.9
15.816.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 0.5
5036
#28
15.50.6
12.813.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed