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Red83
415234.5
490734.1
499215.0
Blue63
876421.1
752021.7
790216.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805202040601001201408363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
34.50.9
29.730.6
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
red by 12.8
7520
#26
21.70.8
18.219.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Second
4907
#16
34.10.9
29.330.2
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
red by 13.0
8764
#37
21.10.8
20.321.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
4992
#38
15.00.9
10.111.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
blue by 1.5
7902
#36
16.50.8
11.912.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed