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Red99
502427.3
492028.6
588531.2
Blue58
270627.8
752021.7
490734.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93896070801001101201309958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.9
26.026.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
blue by 2.9
4907
#16
34.11.9
30.228.4
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Second
4920
#40
28.60.9
24.125.0
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
red by 0.9
2706
#15
27.81.9
28.126.2
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
5024
#14
27.30.9
33.534.4
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 5.7
7520
#26
21.71.9
22.520.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed