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Red58
909831.4
131019.2
872924.7
Blue48
956210.5
406923.1
415234.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706940506080901005848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
27.427.0
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
blue by 3.1
4152
#12
34.51.0
30.129.1
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Second
8729
#17
24.70.4
19.419.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 1.6
23.11.0
16.915.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Third
1310
#39
19.20.4
16.816.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
red by 8.7
9562
#42
10.51.0
15.514.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed