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Red61
219815.2
270627.8
611012.3
Blue57
876421.1
491732.3
956210.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577620401001206157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
27.80.5
27.427.9
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 4.5
32.30.6
33.733.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
2198
#48
15.20.5
14.815.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 5.8
8764
#37
21.10.6
21.721.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
6110
#31
12.30.5
11.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
red by 1.8
9562
#42
10.50.6
11.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed