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Final 12024 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship
Red128
205658.7
978522.6
467836.3
Blue71
447636.2
872923.9
403940.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136113608010012016018020012871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
58.70.3
59.5→59.2
Auto22.1
Teleop32.8
End3.7
red by 17.7
4039
Unranked
40.90.8
42.4→41.7
Auto12.2
Teleop25.4
End3.3
Second
4678
Unranked
36.30.3
37.1→36.8
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.7
red by 0.1
4476
Unranked
36.20.8
37.7→37.0
Auto11.3
Teleop21.9
End3.0
Third
9785
Unranked
22.60.3
23.4→23.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 1.3
8729
Unranked
23.90.8
24.7→23.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End2.8