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Red77
965916.5
403936.6
540642.6
Blue54
132527.7
316130.6
872913.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11175501001502007754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.4
43.042.5
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
red by 12.0
30.60.4
30.730.3
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
36.60.4
36.936.5
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
red by 8.9
27.70.4
27.827.4
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
Third
9659
#19
16.50.4
16.916.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 3.1
8729
#23
13.40.4
13.513.1
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5