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Red43
999620.9
18816.4
316130.6
Blue52
403936.6
131020.1
99926.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686845505560657580854352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.4
27.726.4
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
blue by 6.0
36.60.6
38.838.1
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
Second
20.92.3
12.410.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 0.8
20.10.6
18.017.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
188
#22
16.41.4
19.318.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
red by 10.0
9992
#24
6.41.0
4.63.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed