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Red38
219812.0
872913.4
131020.1
Blue80
132527.7
99926.4
503614.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526102040801003880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.0
17.416.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 7.6
27.70.1
35.135.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
Second
8729
#23
13.41.0
15.714.6
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 0.9
5036
#17
14.30.1
15.215.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
2198
#26
12.01.0
15.414.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 5.5
9992
#24
6.40.1
3.53.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned