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Red56
999512.6
790211.0
999012.6
Blue29
18816.4
99916.8
85418.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801005629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
#18
12.62.4
7.49.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
blue by 5.4
854
#12
18.00.8
13.112.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Second
9990
#11
12.62.4
8.811.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 3.9
188
#22
16.40.8
18.017.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Third
7902
#13
11.01.5
13.014.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
red by 4.2
9991
#20
6.81.4
3.21.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed