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Red44
808914.5
999620.9
872913.4
Blue40
219812.0
293519.7
503614.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801004440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.3
10.110.4
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 1.2
2935
#21
19.71.3
19.218.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Second
8089
#16
14.50.2
16.716.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
red by 0.1
5036
#17
14.31.3
15.314.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
8729
#23
13.40.2
14.614.8
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 1.5
2198
#26
12.01.3
14.413.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned