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Red36
18816.4
86519.4
503614.3
Blue34
808914.5
316130.6
999512.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62573040507080903634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
19.41.4
24.523.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
blue by 11.2
30.61.2
25.824.6
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
188
#22
16.41.4
17.115.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
red by 2.0
8089
#16
14.51.2
16.915.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
5036
#17
14.31.4
14.012.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 1.7
9995
#18
12.62.1
9.87.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed