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Red100
99916.8
540642.6
999620.9
Blue47
999512.6
876418.2
403936.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5578010015020010047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.62.2
34.036.2
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End4.8
red by 6.0
36.61.4
38.637.2
Auto14.1
Teleop21.8
End0.8
Second
20.92.9
13.516.4
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 2.7
8764
#14
18.21.4
18.917.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
9991
#20
6.82.9
4.47.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
9995
#18
12.61.8
10.28.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed