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Red55
85418.0
965916.5
790211.0
Blue65
503614.3
293519.7
270227.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801001201401605565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#12
18.00.8
14.014.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 9.4
27.40.6
24.124.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
9659
#19
16.50.8
11.512.3
Auto8.1
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 3.1
2935
#21
19.70.6
18.719.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Third
7902
#13
11.00.8
12.112.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 3.4
5036
#17
14.30.6
12.413.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed