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Red100
270227.4
219812.0
999620.9
Blue44
752016.0
503214.9
999512.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66450208010012014010044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.7
26.727.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End2.1
red by 11.4
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Second
20.90.7
20.220.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End-0.6
red by 6.0
5032
#10
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
2198
#26
12.00.7
11.212.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 0.6
9995
#18
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5