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Red90
86519.4
131020.1
18816.4
Blue72
752016.0
503214.9
999512.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6243020801001201409072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.8
19.620.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 4.1
16.00.4
15.515.8
Auto9.0
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Second
865
#7
19.40.8
18.919.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 4.5
5032
#10
14.90.4
14.414.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
188
#22
16.40.8
16.016.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End0.3
red by 3.8
9995
#18
12.60.4
12.112.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End0.5