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Red51
872913.4
132527.7
316130.6
Blue51
790211.0
293519.7
999012.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864501001505151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.5
30.930.5
Auto14.1
Teleop14.3
End2.3
red by 10.9
2935
#21
19.70.0
19.419.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End0.9
Second
27.70.5
28.027.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.9
End0.7
red by 15.1
9990
#11
12.60.0
12.312.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Third
8729
#23
13.40.5
13.813.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.5
red by 2.4
7902
#13
11.00.0
10.710.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End1.5