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Red43
111437.2
491719.8
353815.1
Blue31
747514.4
906220.4
87899.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1124901001502002504331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.24.1
40.836.7
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 16.8
9062
#10
20.41.7
25.824.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
4917
#27
19.84.1
31.727.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 5.4
7475
#16
14.41.7
14.312.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
Third
15.14.1
21.517.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 5.3
8789
#17
9.71.7
11.910.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed