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Red60
87899.7
111437.2
415229.2
Blue30
27084.2
755821.6
909827.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88730501001502006030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.5
35.534.0
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 10.0
9098
#13Sur
27.22.5
33.931.5
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
Second
4152
#11
29.21.5
30.428.9
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
red by 7.5
7558
#18
21.62.5
26.423.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Third
8789
#17
9.71.5
11.510.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 5.5
2708
#25
4.22.5
6.74.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed