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Red96
205647.8
111437.2
96219.0
Blue55
124126.9
85416.0
27084.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1084501502009655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.0
47.147.1
Auto20.0
Teleop24.2
End3.6
red by 20.9
26.90.1
25.425.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Second
37.20.0
34.034.0
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 21.3
854
#20
16.00.1
18.218.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End0.8
Third
9621
#26
9.00.0
9.79.7
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End1.0
red by 4.7
2708
#25
4.20.1
4.24.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed