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Red56
494629.6
747514.4
124126.9
Blue30
85416.0
755821.6
591218.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81710501001502005630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
33.232.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
red by 8.0
7558
#18
21.62.3
23.921.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Second
26.91.1
25.524.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 8.8
5912
#22
18.12.3
22.820.5
Auto9.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
7475
#16
14.41.1
13.512.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
blue by 1.5
854
#20
16.02.3
18.316.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed