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Red59
415229.2
95259.7
591218.1
Blue85
999517.0
111437.2
368335.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589302040801201401605985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#11
29.20.1
28.628.7
Auto12.8
Teleop10.9
End5.5
blue by 8.1
37.20.1
35.435.5
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
5912
#22
18.10.1
18.919.0
Auto9.1
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 17.1
35.20.1
33.333.4
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Third
9525
#19
9.70.1
7.98.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 7.3
17.00.1
15.315.5
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed