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Red57
27084.2
132525.4
447636.9
Blue65
95259.7
999517.0
909827.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934401502005765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.7
39.137.4
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 9.7
9098
#13
27.21.1
32.833.9
Auto11.4
Teleop12.8
End3.0
Second
1325
#12
25.41.7
27.726.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.2
End0.8
red by 8.4
17.01.8
8.810.6
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
2708
#25
4.21.7
11.49.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 5.5
9525
#19
9.71.1
7.18.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed