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Red61
85416.0
747514.4
999618.6
Blue90
447636.9
124126.9
95259.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32840501001506190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.62.5
9.512.0
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 18.3
36.91.4
37.438.7
Auto9.8
Teleop25.1
End2.1
Second
854
#20
16.01.5
16.718.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End0.8
blue by 10.9
26.91.4
24.025.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
7475
#16
14.41.5
12.514.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
red by 4.7
9525
#19
9.71.4
8.29.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed