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Red73
353815.1
747514.4
124126.9
Blue85
999618.6
96219.0
494629.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001201401607385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.4
26.526.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 2.7
29.60.4
29.129.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
15.10.4
14.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 3.5
18.60.5
17.718.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
7475
#16
14.40.4
14.014.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End-0.4
red by 5.5
9621
#26
9.00.4
8.48.8
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End1.0