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Red86
95259.7
132525.4
111437.2
Blue78
999618.6
96219.0
494629.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8046020601001201401608678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
35.535.9
Auto14.8
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 7.6
29.60.5
28.328.8
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Second
1325
#12
25.40.4
23.624.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.2
End0.8
red by 6.8
18.60.7
16.617.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
9525
#19
9.70.4
8.08.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End1.3
red by 0.8
9621
#26
9.00.5
7.78.1
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End1.0