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Red116
750914.3
205656.4
220037.5
Blue74
316137.9
132528.1
499212.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12384406010014016018011674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.2
56.056.2
Auto21.6
Teleop30.8
End4.0
red by 18.5
37.90.1
38.538.4
Auto16.2
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
37.50.2
37.137.3
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
red by 9.4
1325
#17
28.10.1
28.828.6
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End2.0
Third
7509
#35
14.30.2
13.914.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 1.6
4992
#15
12.70.1
13.413.2
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3