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Red39
567213.1
97825.2
876418.9
Blue27
35605.4
765910.1
430815.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413002060803927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#24
18.90.8
19.218.4
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 3.5
4308
#19
15.40.1
12.812.7
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Second
5672
#22
13.10.8
10.19.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.6
red by 2.9
7659
#26
10.10.1
7.47.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
9782
#18
5.20.8
6.65.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 0.2
3560
#33
5.40.1
8.18.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed