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Red23
76238.6
876418.9
35605.4
Blue35
68548.8
499212.7
957516.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402701020506070802335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#24
18.91.1
18.417.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 2.6
9575
#25
16.30.6
13.013.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.0
Second
7623
#28
8.61.9
7.85.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 4.1
4992
#15
12.70.6
9.310.0
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
Third
3560
#33
5.41.1
8.06.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 3.4
6854
#27
8.80.6
3.33.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned