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Red33
978522.4
68548.8
750914.3
Blue59
765910.1
567213.1
540928.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42502060801003359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9785
#12
22.40.4
20.019.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 6.0
28.40.6
24.224.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Second
7509
#35
14.30.4
14.514.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 1.2
5672
#22
13.10.6
10.311.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Third
6854
#27
8.80.4
4.64.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 1.3
7659
#26
10.10.6
9.810.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned