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Red67
499212.7
238626.0
705820.1
Blue73
220037.5
639711.6
7716.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5650203040607080906773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.8
23.924.7
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 11.5
37.51.8
31.433.2
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
Second
7058
#23
20.10.8
15.115.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 8.5
11.61.8
9.010.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Third
4992
#15
12.70.8
10.911.7
Auto7.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
red by 6.4
771
#29
6.31.8
5.16.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned