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Red22
747511.0
68548.8
97825.2
Blue29
497626.5
96781.6
430815.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12520204060801002229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#21
11.00.1
7.47.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.4
blue by 15.5
4976
#16
26.50.9
24.323.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Second
6854
#27
8.80.1
4.04.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 6.6
4308
#19
15.40.9
12.411.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
9782
#18
5.20.1
4.34.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End0.2
red by 3.6
9678
#34
1.61.5
5.64.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed