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Red44
430815.4
567213.1
46179.5
Blue49
978522.4
76238.6
639711.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060804449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#19
15.40.8
13.113.9
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 7.0
9785
#12
22.40.2
22.022.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
5672
#22
13.10.8
10.611.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.6
red by 1.5
11.60.2
11.011.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.8
Third
4617
#31
9.50.8
8.59.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 0.9
7623
#28
8.60.3
8.18.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed