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Red52
7716.3
92636.8
497626.5
Blue54
876418.9
750914.3
124123.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376702060801005254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#16
26.50.0
24.924.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End3.0
red by 2.9
23.60.5
26.926.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
Second
9263
#30
6.80.0
5.85.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End-0.1
blue by 12.1
8764
#24
18.90.5
17.316.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
771
#29
6.30.0
6.66.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.4
blue by 8.0
7509
#35
14.30.5
12.912.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed