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Red47
639711.6
540629.2
97825.2
Blue45
96781.6
111425.9
834911.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494002060801001204745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.3
27.527.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End4.1
red by 3.4
1114
#13
25.90.5
24.825.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Second
11.60.3
11.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End0.8
red by 0.3
8349
#20
11.40.5
10.811.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Third
9782
#18
5.20.3
4.44.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End0.2
red by 3.6
9678
#34
1.60.6
1.72.3
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed