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Red65
765910.1
124123.6
220037.5
Blue70
747511.0
430815.4
540928.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9050204060801001201406570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.8
38.837.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.0
End5.9
red by 9.1
28.41.3
26.327.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End8.8
Second
23.61.8
25.623.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End0.3
red by 8.2
4308
#19
15.41.3
14.315.7
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
7659
#26
10.11.8
11.910.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
7475
#21
11.01.3
9.410.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned56%Ensemble oddsMissed