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Red110
205647.2
403936.2
68545.3
Blue58
86514.7
61028.0
415223.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102702040608012014011058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.4
47.047.4
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 19.2
610
#4
28.00.4
28.428.1
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Second
36.20.4
36.036.3
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
red by 13.0
23.20.4
23.623.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Third
6854
#33
5.30.4
5.15.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 9.4
865
#23
14.70.4
15.214.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3