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Red42
495111.5
270623.4
748016.5
Blue59
130516.6
447620.6
808912.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801004259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#12
23.40.2
18.618.8
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 2.7
4476
#13
20.60.4
16.516.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
7480
#31
16.50.2
15.015.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
blue by 0.1
16.60.4
17.818.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
4951
#18
11.50.2
6.66.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 0.7
8089
#16
12.20.4
11.411.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned