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Red43
876419.2
497621.5
91278.8
Blue83
958010.1
74768.5
205647.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417102060801001204383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
21.50.1
17.517.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 25.7
47.20.2
40.740.5
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
Second
8764
#10
19.20.1
16.216.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 9.1
9580
#11
10.10.2
11.611.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
9127
#24
8.80.1
6.76.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 0.3
7476
#29
8.50.2
8.78.5
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned